Tiburon, spanish for shark and representative of our relentlessness, efficiency, ability to move swiftly and capacity to adapt.
Tiburon seeks to harness returns from hard events - Revaluation Catalysts - as they occur.
Tiburon utilized its proprietary BRACE methodology in its review of investments and seeks to reduce human bias in decision-making.
Tiburon Markets Overview
The Wounds and the Salves
Developed Markets ("DM") Flash PMI surveys suggest another bout of weakness in global manufacturing activity in early spring, driven by soft demand from Asia, particularly China (the Wounds). The ongoing weakness in industrial activity in recent years may be related to investment slump in DM countries. We expect central banks to remain supportive, with the Fed likely to be mindful of downside risks to export growth at the next FOMC meeting (the Salves). In Europe, finance ministers are still struggling to reach an agreement on Greece. The situation is set to remain fluid as the Greek government remains cash strapped.
Our near term view is for better US growth in 2Q15 and continued thaw in Europe. We expect a gentle rate rise in 3Q15 for the US and ultimately, something resembling a "deal" in Europe regarding Greece. There has been incremental growth in both Europe and the US (our two preferred markets at moment). However, despite myopic attention to any number de jour – most recently, jobs or retails sales (neither particularly good) - it still feels that consumption can pick up in 2Q15 and certainly in 2H15. The environment, despite the fears of TV pundits and doomsday scenarists, suggests a ripe near term harvest of catalysts that can drive outperformance regardless of the vagaries of sideways trading markets.
Tiburon Capital Management is an SEC registered investment advisor
and 100% employee-owned (and a Minority-Owned Business Enterprise)
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